Bastia vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
LIL
3 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
ANG
1 - 0
BAS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
PSG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
LYO
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
VAL
3 - 0
ASN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
NIC
4 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
VAL
2 - 2
GIR
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
TOU
2 - 3
VAL
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1980 |
VAL
4 - 2
STL
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |