Bastia vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 0
NAN
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1976 |
LEN
4 - 3
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 1
STL
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1976 |
PSG
1 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
VAL
3 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
MET
2 - 2
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 2
TRO
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASS
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1976 |
VAL
2 - 0
ASN
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |