Bastia vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
MAR
4 - 1
BAS
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 2
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
TRO
1 - 1
ANG
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
TRO
0 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
MET
2 - 1
TRO
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
TRO
0 - 0
ASS
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
NAN
2 - 1
TRO
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |