Bastia vs Toulouse analysis

Bastia Toulouse
76 ELO 81
-0.2% Tilt 11.6%
710º General ELO ranking 99º
25º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
34.4%
Bastia
27.5%
Draw
38.1%
Toulouse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
Bastia
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.1%
Win probability
Toulouse
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bastia
+4%
-5%
Toulouse

ELO progression

Bastia
Toulouse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2014
PSG
PSG
2 - 0
Bastia
BAS
79%
14%
7%
75 91 16 0
12 Aug. 2014
BAS
Bastia
1 - 2
Creteil
LUS
64%
21%
16%
76 65 11 -1
09 Aug. 2014
BAS
Bastia
3 - 3
Olympique Marseille
MAR
28%
27%
45%
75 85 10 +1
25 Jul. 2014
BAS
Bastia
1 - 1
Norwich City
NOR
41%
26%
34%
75 79 4 0
17 May. 2014
BAS
Bastia
0 - 0
Nantes
NAN
46%
26%
27%
75 76 1 0

Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2014
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
25%
25%
50%
81 87 6 0
09 Aug. 2014
NIC
Nice
3 - 2
Toulouse
TFC
41%
29%
31%
81 81 0 0
02 Aug. 2014
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 0
Athletic
ATH
25%
26%
49%
81 87 6 0
19 Jul. 2014
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 0
Sète
SÈT
75%
18%
7%
81 58 23 0
12 Jul. 2014
TFC
Toulouse
1 - 1
Luzenac
LUZ
68%
20%
12%
81 65 16 0