Bastia vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1999 |
BAS
0 - 1
REN
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
DIJ
2 - 1
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
LHA
1 - 1
BAS
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
TFC
1 - 0
MAR
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
AUX
1 - 2
TFC
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 2
TFC
31%
30%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
TFC
1 - 0
MET
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
JUR
1 - 1
TFC
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |