Bastia vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
STR
6 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 0
MET
30%
28%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
MON
2 - 1
BAS
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
SOC
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
MET
1 - 1
TFC
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 1
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
TFC
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
TFC
4 - 2
NAN
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |