Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 1
PSG
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
LYO
1 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
STR
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
REN
4 - 0
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
STR
0 - 0
TFC
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MPL
1 - 2
STR
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
STR
0 - 0
MON
22%
26%
53%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
STR
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
STR
0 - 0
PSG
33%
29%
39%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |