Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
LRO
2 - 4
BAS
5%
16%
79%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
3 - 1
GIR
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 2
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
MPL
2 - 2
BAS
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1997 |
STR
5 - 1
CSL
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
STR
3 - 0
REN
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
SCH
0 - 4
STR
4%
16%
80%
|
84 | 34 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
STR
2 - 0
CAN
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
AUX
0 - 1
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |