Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
ANG
1 - 0
BAS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
PSG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
LYO
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
NIC
2 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 1
ASN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1980 |
STR
2 - 1
LYO
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
ASN
2 - 0
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1980 |
STR
2 - 1
NIC
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
GIR
2 - 1
STR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
STR
4 - 1
TOU
71%
18%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |