Bastia vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1985 |
NAN
2 - 0
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 2
REN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1985 |
LEN
6 - 0
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 4
PSG
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
MON
4 - 0
BAS
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1985 |
SPO
2 - 1
MET
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1985 |
MON
0 - 2
SPO
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 0
STR
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1985 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAN
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 2
NAN
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |