Bastia vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
LIL
1 - 2
BAS
57%
24%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1984 |
TFC
3 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 2
STR
48%
28%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 2
GIR
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1984 |
PSG
0 - 0
SPO
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1984 |
SPO
2 - 1
BRE
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1984 |
NAN
3 - 1
SPO
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
BRE
5 - 2
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |