Bastia vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SML
2 - 1
BAS
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 1
DRA
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 1
BAS
12%
23%
65%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
SED
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SPI
3 - 1
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SED
1 - 0
SPI
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPI
2 - 0
FCS
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LIL
0 - 0
SPI
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SPI
0 - 1
FCM
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |