Bastia vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CLE
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 3
BAS
7%
13%
81%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
SOC
39%
29%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
PFC
1 - 0
BAS
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 3
MON
14%
23%
64%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 2
CAE
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 1
STL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PAU
1 - 2
QUE
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 1
ASN
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |