Bastia vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 1
AUB
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 2
FUR
78%
15%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 0
FBB
83%
13%
5%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 1
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ANG
0 - 1
PAU
11%
18%
71%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
RSO
2 - 0
PAU
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
0 - 0
PAU
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PAU
1 - 3
GUI
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
AMI
4 - 2
PAU
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |