Bastia vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
VAN
46%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
BAS
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 2
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
SED
1 - 1
BAS
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
NÎM
1 - 0
CHA
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
MET
0 - 0
NÎM
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
NÎM
2 - 1
DIJ
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
REI
2 - 1
NÎM
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
NÎM
2 - 1
MPL
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |