Bastia vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ASN
3 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 2
LEN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
PSG
1 - 1
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 0
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1979 |
MON
1 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
NÎM
1 - 1
ANG
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
VAL
4 - 1
NÎM
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
ASS
3 - 1
NÎM
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
NÎM
0 - 0
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1979 |
LEN
1 - 0
NÎM
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |