Bastia vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
REI
1 - 1
BAS
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
62%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 2
STL
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
MON
6 - 0
BAS
53%
23%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
NÎM
2 - 1
SOC
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ANG
2 - 1
NÎM
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
NÎM
2 - 2
ASS
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
NIC
1 - 2
NÎM
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
NÎM
4 - 2
GIR
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |