Bastia vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
BAS
3 - 0
ASS
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 0
RED
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
ASN
2 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
NÎM
2 - 0
NIC
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
AJA
0 - 0
NÎM
42%
26%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
NÎM
0 - 0
ASN
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
RED
1 - 5
NÎM
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
NÎM
1 - 1
GIR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |