Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PSG
7 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
MAR
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 0
MET
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 1
NIC
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
DIJ
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
GIR
3 - 2
NIC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |