Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
BAS
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
LIL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
NAN
0 - 2
BAS
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 1
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 1
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 0
NIC
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 0
NAN
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |