Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
BAS
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
LMU
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
LEN
0 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
BAS
4 - 1
MAR
41%
29%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SOC
2 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
NIC
0 - 1
LYO
19%
25%
56%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIC
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
NIC
3 - 1
REN
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
STR
2 - 2
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NIC
0 - 0
MAR
35%
30%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |