Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
GUI
2 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
AUX
1 - 2
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 1
MET
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
LHA
0 - 1
BAS
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
BAS
3 - 1
LYO
32%
28%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
NIC
3 - 1
REN
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
68%
22%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
NIC
0 - 3
LHA
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
LYO
3 - 1
NIC
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
NIC
0 - 1
PSG
16%
24%
60%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |