Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
27%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
LEN
3 - 0
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1994 |
FCR
2 - 0
BAS
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
BAS
2 - 1
VAL
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
FCM
0 - 2
BAS
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
LMU
0 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1994 |
NIC
3 - 1
NÎM
54%
25%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
ASB
1 - 1
NIC
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
NIC
1 - 2
DUN
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
44%
29%
27%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
NIC
0 - 0
VAL
75%
18%
7%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |