Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 1
PFC
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 1
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
FCR
0 - 0
BAS
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1978 |
PSV
3 - 0
BAS
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
NIC
4 - 2
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
SOC
2 - 1
NIC
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
NIC
3 - 1
ANG
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1978 |
NAN
6 - 1
NIC
62%
21%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
LYO
1 - 1
NIC
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |