Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
BAS
3 - 0
ASN
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BAS
3 - 1
TRO
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
VAL
3 - 1
BAS
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
NÎM
3 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1975 |
ASS
1 - 1
NIC
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
NIC
5 - 0
LEN
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
MET
2 - 2
NIC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 1
REI
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
NIC
4 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |