Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAS
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
TFC
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAS
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
BAS
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 1
PSG
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 1
NAN
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
ASN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 2
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 3
LYO
18%
22%
59%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |