Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MPL
4 - 0
BAS
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
MAR
26%
25%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
BAS
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LIL
0 - 0
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
LIL
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
GIR
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LYO
1 - 1
ASN
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
VAL
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 1
ASN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
AJA
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |