Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
BAS
1 - 0
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
AUX
1 - 0
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 1
BAS
39%
25%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
BAS
1 - 2
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
ASN
2 - 1
STR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
STL
1 - 0
ASN
28%
28%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
IST
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
PSG
1 - 1
ASN
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2002 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |