Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAS
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 1
NAN
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
MON
4 - 0
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
BAS
3 - 0
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
GIR
3 - 2
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
ASN
2 - 1
LEN
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
ASS
2 - 1
ASN
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
ASN
3 - 0
LHA
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
SED
3 - 1
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
AUX
2 - 1
ASN
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |