Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
BRE
7 - 0
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
STL
1 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 3
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 2
GIR
21%
29%
51%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
ASN
0 - 2
MET
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
MON
1 - 1
ASN
68%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
ASN
1 - 1
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
REN
1 - 0
ASN
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
ASN
1 - 3
NAN
37%
27%
35%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |