Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1980 |
LEN
2 - 0
BAS
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 0
PSG
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
BRE
3 - 0
BAS
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1980 |
STL
3 - 0
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1980 |
ASN
3 - 1
GIR
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASN
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
ASN
1 - 0
ANG
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1980 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASN
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1980 |
ASN
1 - 0
NÎM
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |