Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
VAL
3 - 0
BAS
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 3
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 0
SOC
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
ANG
0 - 2
BAS
31%
26%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 2
NIC
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
ASN
1 - 1
MET
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
GIR
0 - 0
ASN
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
ASN
3 - 1
NIC
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
ASS
3 - 2
ASN
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
ASN
5 - 1
PFC
74%
16%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |