Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 0
TRO
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
MAR
4 - 1
BAS
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 2
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
ASN
4 - 1
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 1
ASN
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
ASN
7 - 3
GIR
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASN
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
ASN
4 - 2
REI
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |