Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
6 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
4 - 2
ASS
26%
21%
53%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
NÎM
2 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
3 - 1
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
ASN
1 - 1
MET
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
LYO
2 - 1
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
ASN
2 - 0
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
ASN
2 - 1
SOC
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |