Bastia vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TFC
4 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MPL
2 - 1
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MON
5 - 0
MET
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
MPL
1 - 2
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
NIC
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 5
MON
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PSG
1 - 1
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |