Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
BAS
0 - 1
SOC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 1
GIR
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
NIC
2 - 1
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MET
1 - 1
GIR
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
NIC
4 - 2
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
MET
0 - 1
ANG
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
VAL
2 - 2
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1979 |
MET
0 - 0
NÎM
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |