Bastia vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
BAS
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
STL
0 - 1
BAS
28%
26%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
AVR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ORL
2 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
BAS
4 - 1
LUS
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
LYO
2 - 1
RED
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
QUE
3 - 1
LYO
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
LYO
0 - 3
ANN
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
LYO
45%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FBB
2 - 2
LYO
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |