Bastia vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
PSG
5 - 0
BAS
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
REN
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 0
LYO
13%
21%
66%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DIJ
1 - 2
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
ANG
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 0
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
5 - 1
MET
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MPL
2 - 0
LOR
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 4
LOR
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |