Bastia vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 3
VAL
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LYO
5 - 2
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
GIR
23%
24%
54%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
LIL
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 4
GIR
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
LOR
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
4 - 4
AJA
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
6 - 1
LOR
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |