Bastia vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
SED
0 - 2
BAS
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
TRO
3 - 0
BAS
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 1
LEN
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
BAS
1 - 0
SED
53%
25%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
MET
1 - 1
LOR
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
LOR
2 - 2
MAR
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
GIR
3 - 0
LOR
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
NAN
2 - 0
LOR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 1
SED
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |