Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
NAN
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
LOR
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 2
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
REI
0 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
TRO
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LIL
2 - 0
REI
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MPL
3 - 0
LIL
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 0
LYO
30%
27%
44%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PSG
0 - 0
LIL
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
REN
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |