Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
CAE
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
REN
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAS
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
ETG
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 1
GIR
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LIL
3 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 3
WOL
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |