Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LYO
4 - 1
BAS
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 1
AJA
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 1
BAS
53%
23%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 2
SOC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 0
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 2
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 0
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |