Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 4
BAS
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 1
LYO
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LIL
5 - 0
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
LIL
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 2
ETG
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 3
LIL
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |