Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
PSG
3 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 0
LYO
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
AUX
1 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 0
GIR
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
TFC
0 - 1
BAS
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
LIL
2 - 1
MET
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
SED
1 - 0
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
STR
0 - 4
LIL
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
19%
23%
59%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |