Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
TFC
3 - 1
BAS
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
AUX
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
LIL
2 - 2
MON
32%
30%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
MET
4 - 0
LIL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
LIL
1 - 0
LEN
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
LIL
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 1
NAN
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |