Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1982 |
MET
0 - 0
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
STL
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1982 |
LYO
3 - 1
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
PSG
1 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1982 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
34%
27%
38%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1982 |
FCM
1 - 0
LIL
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1982 |
LIL
0 - 2
NAN
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1982 |
ASN
2 - 2
LIL
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASS
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |