Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
BAS
3 - 1
ANG
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1971 |
LYO
3 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
BAS
1 - 2
MON
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
LIL
1 - 1
NÎM
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1971 |
NIC
3 - 1
LIL
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1971 |
LIL
3 - 1
RED
49%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
ASN
2 - 1
LIL
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
ANG
3 - 1
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |