Bastia vs FC Libourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
67%
21%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
REI
1 - 1
BAS
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CAN
2 - 2
BAS
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCG
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
STR
1 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
FCL
4 - 2
TRO
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 2
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 0
BRI
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 3
REI
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
IST
2 - 2
FCL
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |