Bastia vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
ASS
1 - 1
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
LHA
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
SED
2 - 0
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
59%
24%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAS
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
AUX
3 - 2
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
LEN
2 - 1
MTA
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
LEN
0 - 2
ASS
75%
16%
8%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
LHA
1 - 1
LEN
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
MTA
2 - 2
LEN
30%
28%
41%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |